Axios Ipsos Two Americas Index March 2023 Topline
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY Axios-Ipsos Two Americas Poll– March 2023 Conducted by Ipsos using KnowledgePanel® A survey of the American general population (ages 18+) Wave: Interview dates: Interviews: Wave 1 March 10-13, 2023 1,018 Margin of error for the total Wave 1 sample: +/-3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Reduced bases are unweighted values. NOTE: * = less than 0.5%, - = no respondents Annotated Questionnaire: 1. Which of the following topics are the most important issues facing the country? March 2023 Inflation or increasing costs 49% Unemployment 4% Economic inequality 11% Political extremism or polarization 25% Government budget and debt 19% Taxes 8% Foreign conflicts or terrorism 9% Education 8% Immigration 21% Race and racism 15% Healthcare 18% COVID-19/coronavirus 5% Opioid or drug addiction 11% Abortion 12% Crime or gun violence 33% Climate change 19% Natural disasters 4% Election security or fraud 7% Other 2% None of these 1% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 2. Which of the following topics are the most important issues facing your local community? March 2023 Inflation or increasing costs 57% Unemployment 9% Economic inequality 14% Political extremism or polarization 13% Government budget and debt 10% Taxes 16% Foreign conflicts or terrorism 1% Education 18% Immigration 9% Race and racism 11% Healthcare 17% COVID-19/coronavirus 4% Opioid or drug addiction 21% Abortion 5% Crime or gun violence 25% Climate change 11% Natural disasters 2% Election security or fraud 3% Other 2% None of these 4% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 3. In the past month, which of these topics have you seen a lot of in the news? March 2023 Inflation or increasing costs 61% Unemployment 13% Economic inequality 18% Political extremism or polarization 39% Government budget and debt 38% Taxes 17% Foreign conflicts or terrorism 41% Education 18% Immigration 36% Race and racism 40% Healthcare 18% COVID-19/coronavirus 23% Opioid or drug addiction 31% Abortion 32% Crime or gun violence 59% Climate change 35% Natural disasters 33% Election security or fraud 18% Other 1% None of these 8% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 4. How much, if anything, do you think you have in common with Americans who identify as… White Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 45% 33% 10% 7% 4% 1% 78% 17% Black Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 21% 32% 23% 17% 7% 1% 53% 39% Hispanic Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 21% 30% 22% 17% 9% 1% 51% 39% Asian Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 12% 29% 24% 24% 10% 1% 42% 48% Democrats Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 23% 31% 20% 18% 7% 1% 55% 38% Republicans Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 18% 28% 23% 23% 7% 1% 46% 46% Evangelical Christian Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 19% 20% 18% 30% 11% 1% 39% 49% Agnostic/Non-religious Total Total Wave: A lot Some A little Nothing Not sure Skipped a lot/some a little/nothing March 10-13 17% 25% 20% 26% 11% 1% 42% 46% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 5. When was the last time you shared a meal with someone who is… White In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 77% 6% 4% 5% 3% 5% 1% Black In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 39% 15% 9% 18% 8% 10% 1% Hispanic In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 42% 13% 8% 14% 9% 13% 1% Asian In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 28% 13% 8% 18% 17% 16% 1% Democrat In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 54% 9% 4% 4% 5% 23% 1% Republican In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 48% 11% 5% 5% 8% 23% 1% Evangelical Christian In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 28% 8% 5% 9% 14% 35% 1% Agnostic/Non-religious In the last In the last In the last A year ago Wave: month six months year or more Never Not sure Skipped March 10-13 35% 8% 5% 7% 12% 32% 1% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 6. How confident are you, if at all, that Americans will reconcile our differences in the next five years? Very Somewhat A little Not at all Very/Somewhat A little/not at all Wave: confident confident confident confident Not sure Skipped confident confident March 10-13 2% 10% 23% 57% 8% 1% 12% 80% 7. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? People with opposing political views don't share my values Total Total Strongly Somewhat Neither agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat agree nor Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 11% 30% 30% 19% 8% 1% 41% 28% People from different racial backgrounds don't share my values Total Total Strongly Somewhat Neither agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat agree nor Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 2% 11% 31% 29% 27% 1% 13% 55% People from different religious backgrounds don't share my values Total Total Strongly Somewhat Neither agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat agree nor Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 5% 19% 35% 27% 14% * 24% 41% Right now, in America, there is more that unites us than divides us (n=508) Total Total Strongly Somewhat Neither agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat agree nor Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 7% 25% 27% 24% 16% * 32% 40% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 7. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? (Continued) Right now, in America, there is more that divides us than unites us (n=510) Total Total Strongly Somewhat Neither agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat agree nor Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 26% 38% 20% 10% 5% 1% 64% 15% 8. How optimistic are you, if at all, about the state of our democracy? Not Very/somevery/not at Very Somewhat Not very Not at all what all Wave: optimistic optimistic optimistic optimistic Don’t know Skipped optimistic optimistic March 10-13 4% 33% 35% 19% 10% * 37% 53% 9. Which of the following is closest to your opinion? Polarization in America… Is mostly driven by Is mostly driven by how political and social ordinary Americans Wave: elites think and behave Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 61% 15% 24% * 10. Should the United States actively try to reduce political polarization or let things be? Try to reduce Wave: polarization Let things be Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 60% 10% 29% 1% 11. Would you support or oppose your state seceding and leaving the United States to form or join a new country? Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 5% 12% 17% 65% 3% 16% 81% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 12. Would you support or oppose a “national divorce” where Republican-leaning states form a separate country from Democratic-leaning states? Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 6% 15% 17% 60% 3% 20% 77% 13. How likely, if at all, would you be to do the following? Move out of your current state if they passed laws negatively impacting you Total Total Not Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Don’t Very/somevery/not at Wave: likely likely likely likely know Skipped what likely all likely March 10-13 18% 35% 22% 11% 12% 1% 54% 34% Move to a state that is led by people more aligned with your political beliefs Total Total Not Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Don’t Very/somevery/not at Wave: likely likely likely likely know Skipped what likely all likely March 10-13 12% 28% 27% 21% 12% 1% 40% 48% Move to a state where your voice and vote may have a large impact, like a swing state Total Total Not Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Don’t Very/somevery/not at Wave: likely likely likely likely know Skipped what likely all likely March 10-13 7% 20% 31% 25% 17% 1% 27% 56% Move out of your state if there was a serious effort to secede from the U.S. Total Total Not Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Don’t Very/somevery/not at Wave: likely likely likely likely know Skipped what likely all likely March 10-13 25% 22% 17% 18% 18% 1% 47% 35% Move to a state that was seriously trying to leave the U.S. Total Total Not Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Don’t Very/somevery/not at Wave: likely likely likely likely know Skipped what likely all likely March 10-13 4% 9% 17% 58% 11% 1% 12% 76% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 14. If your state were to secede and leave the United States, do you think the following things would be better, worse, or about the same? Crime and public safety Wave: Better Worse About the same Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 11% 43% 27% 18% 1% Accountability of elected officials Wave: Better Worse About the same Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 13% 41% 25% 20% 1% Your state’s economy Wave: Better Worse About the same Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 12% 47% 19% 21% 1% Government services and benefits in your state Wave: Better Worse About the same Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 10% 48% 22% 19% * Your freedom to live the way you want Wave: Better Worse About the same Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 13% 38% 28% 21% 1% 15. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? The Iraq war has made America safer Total Total Strongly Somewhat agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 5% 26% 39% 28% 2% 31% 67% The focus on national defense and homeland security over the last 20 years has made America safer Total Total Strongly Somewhat agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 9% 45% 29% 15% 2% 54% 45% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 15. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? (Continued) The United States was right to invade Iraq in 2003 Total Total Strongly Somewhat agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 10% 27% 34% 27% 3% 36% 61% The United States should continue to try to be the global leader Total Total Strongly Somewhat agree / disagree / Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Strongly Wave: agree agree disagree disagree Skipped agree disagree March 10-13 31% 42% 17% 8% 2% 73% 25% 16. When it comes to the Iraq war, who do you think ultimately turned out to be right? People who supported the war People who initially, but totally eventually opposed People who supported the it as circumstances opposed the war Wave: war changed from the start Don’t know Skipped March 10-13 9% 21% 26% 44% 1% 17. Do you support or oppose the following? The U.S. providing weapons and financial support to Ukraine Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 26% 33% 19% 21% 1% 59% 40% The U.S. reducing spending on the military and national security Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 11% 21% 34% 32% 2% 32% 66% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY 17. Do you support or oppose the following? (Continued) The U.S. reducing spending on Social Security & Medicare Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 3% 8% 26% 62% 1% 11% 88% The U.S. reducing spending on Medicaid & food assistance Total Total Strongly/ Somewhat Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Somewhat /Strongly Wave: support support oppose oppose Skipped support oppose March 10-13 6% 17% 30% 46% 1% 23% 76% 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY About the Study This Axios-Ipsos Two Americas Survey was conducted March 10 to March 13, 2023 by Ipsos using our KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,018 adults ages 18+. The survey was conducted using KnowledgePanel, the most well-established online probability- based panel that is representative of the adult US population. Our recruitment process employs a scientifically developed addressed-based sampling methodology using the latest Delivery Sequence File of the USPS – a database with full coverage of all delivery points in the US. Households are randomly sampled from all available households in the US. All persons in selected households are invited to join and participate in KnowledgePanel. Ipsos provides selected households that do not already have internet access a tablet and internet connection at no cost to them. Those who join the panel and who are selected to participate in a survey are sent a unique password-protected log-in used to complete surveys online. As a result of our recruitment and sampling methods, samples from KnowledgePanel cover all households regardless of their phone or internet status and findings can be reported with a margin of sampling error and projected to the general population. The study was conducted in English and Spanish. The data were weighted to adjust for gender by age, race/ethnicity, education, Census region, metropolitan status, household income, and party identification. The demographic benchmarks came from the 2022 March supplement of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (CPS). Party ID benchmarks are from recent ABC News/Washington Post telephone polls. The weighting categories were as follows: • Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30–44, 45–59, and 60+) • Race/Hispanic Ethnicity (White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other or 2+ Races Non- Hispanic, Hispanic) • Education (Less than High School graduate, High School graduate, Some College, Bachelor’s and beyond) • Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West) • Metropolitan status (Metro, non-Metro) • Household Income (Under $25,000, $25,000-$49,999, $50,000-$74,999, $75,000-$99,999, $100,000-$149,999, $150,000+) • Party ID (Democrat, Republican, Independent, Something else) The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error takes into account the design effect, which was 1.17. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025
TOPLINE AND METHODOLOGY For more information on this news release, please contact: Chris Jackson Senior Vice President Public Affairs [email protected] Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director Public Affairs [email protected] About Ipsos Ipsos is one of the largest market research and polling companies globally, operating in 90 markets and employing over 18,000 people. Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi- specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. Our 75 solutions are based on primary data from our surveys, social media monitoring, and qualitative or observational techniques. Our tagline "Game Changers" sums up our ambition to help our 5,000 customers move confidently through a rapidly changing world. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has been listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and Mid-60 indices and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP www.ipsos.com 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410 Contact: Chris Jackson Washington DC 20006 Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs, Ipsos +1 202 463-7300 Email: [email protected] Tel: +1 202 420-2025